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Pricing Microfinance Loans and Loan Guarantees using Biased Loan Write-off Data
Bhagwan Chowdhry, UCLA
David Cassell, Countrywide Financial Corporation
James B. Gamett, Portfolio Advisors, LLC and Entrepreneus Global Alliance
Gary J. Milkwick, RJ Capital, Inc. and Entrepreneurs Global Alliance
Chad D. Nielsen, BP plc
Jon D. Sederstrom, Milken Institute
ABSTRACT: We present a simple, easy to implement methodology for pricing microfinance loans and loan guarantees using publicly available data on loan write-offs by Micro Finance Institutions (MFIs). Our methodology takes into account the selection bias inherent in available data in that MFIs that do not report loan write-off data are less likely to be better performers. Our quantitative analysis is consistent with pricing seen in a recent securitization deal. Our analysis suggests how securitization and loan guarantees can greatly expand the supply of funds for microfinance loans.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Bhagwan Chowdhry, David Cassell, James B. Gamett, Gary J. Milkwick, Chad D. Nielsen, and Jon D. Sederstrom,
"Pricing Microfinance Loans and Loan Guarantees using Biased Loan Write-off Data"
(April 12, 2005).
Finance.
Paper 11-05.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/anderson/fin/11-05
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