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Long-Term Continuities in the Politics of Race
David O. Sears, University of California, Los Angeles
Nicholas A. Valentino, University of Michigan
Sharmaine V. Cheleden, University of California, Los Angeles
ABSTRACT: This study tests for long-term continuities in the politics of race. It uses a quasi-experimental
method to examine the role of racial issues in presidential voting in the present era. It identifies two
earlier historical eras in which it is generally agreed racial issues were a central point of partisan division
in national politics: the immediately antebellum and civil rights periods. It uses presidential voting data to
demonstrate continuity in the distribution of the vote across states between those two eras, and between
both eras and the present. The pattern of the vote has been quite different in eras when race has not
been a central national political issue. We argue that these data are consistent with the view that
divisions over race continue to underlie partisan preferences to a significant degree in the present era.
SUGGESTED CITATION: David O. Sears, Nicholas A. Valentino, and Sharmaine V. Cheleden,
"Long-Term Continuities in the Politics of Race"
(August 31, 1999).
Center for Research in Society and Politics.
Paper 4-2000.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/crisp/4-2000
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