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Accuracy of modem global earthquake catalogs Yan Y. Kagan, UCLA/ESS
ABSTRACT: We compare several modem (1977-present) worldwide earthquake catalogs
to infer their completeness, earthquake origin time and hypocenter location
accuracy, magnitude/scalar seismic moment errors, and difference between
individual focal mechanism/moment tensor solutions. The Harvard centroid moment
tensor (CMT), US Geological Survey (USGS) MT, USGS first-motion (FM) focal
mechanism, PDE and ISC catalogs have been analyzed and compared. The catalogs'
completeness and accuracy vary in time and depend on earthquake depth and
tectonic environment. We propose a new statistical method for evaluating
catalog completeness and show the results for the CMT dataset. A difference in
frequency range of seismic waves used in earthquake processing leads to varying
degrees of catalog completeness for foreshocks and aftershocks close in time.
Earthquake origin time versus centroid time as well as hypocenter location
versus centroid location can be explained well by earthquake scaling relations.
Comparing moment magnitudes and regular earthquake magnitudes yields estimated
magnitude uncertainties and shows that latter magnitudes poorly estimate
earthquake size for large events. Moment errors reported in the CMT solutions
are well correlated with the CMT/GS-MT magnitude difference, and hence indicate
magnitude uncertainty well. A normalized seismic moment tensor has 4 d.f. and
its accuracy can be represented as the non-double-couple (non-DC)
component-value, the 3-D angle (Phi) of DC source rotation, and a position of
the rotation pole. Our results suggest that a routinely determined non-DC
component is in most cases only an artifact. The distribution of the Phi-value
varies over catalog time, earthquake depth, focal mechanism, and magnitude. The
seismic moment errors and the value of the non-DC component are indicative of
the Phi-value; for the best solutions, the 3-D angle in the CMT catalog is on
the order of 5-7degrees. The CMT catalog is obviously the best dataset in
completeness and accuracy of its detailed solutions. Our results specifying
uncertainties and completeness of global earthquake catalogs, can be used in
studies of geodynamic processes, tectonic deformation associated with
earthquakes, earthquake stress analysis and in many other applications of
earthquake catalog data. Seismogram interpretation techniques can be reviewed
and possibly revised in light of these results. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V.
All rights reserved.
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