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The Effect of Cigarette Prices on Youth Smoking
Hana
Ross,
University of Illinois, Chicago
Frank
J.
Chaloupka,
University of Illinois, Chicago
ABSTRACT: Prior economic research provides mixed evidence on the impact of cigarette prices on
youth smoking. This paper empirically tests the effects of various price measures on youth
demand for cigarettes using data collected in a recent nationally representative survey of 17,287
high school students. In addition to commonly used cigarette price measures, the study also
examined the effect of price as perceived by the students. This unique information permits the
study of the effect of teen-specific price on cigarette demand. The analysis employed a two-part
model of cigarette demand based on a model developed by Cragg (1971) in which the propensity
to smoke and the intensity of the smoking habit are modeled separately. The results confirm that
higher cigarette prices, irrespective of the way they are measured, reduce youth cigarette
smoking. The split of the price effect on smoking probability and on smoking intensity depends
on the price measure used in the model. The largest impact on cigarette demand has the teenspecific,
perceived price of cigarettes.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Hana Ross PhD and Frank J. Chaloupka PhD,
"The Effect of Cigarette Prices on Youth Smoking"
(February 1, 2001).
Tobacco Control.
Reports on Industry Activity from Outside UCSF.
Paper YO4.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/tc/reports/YO4
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