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Estimation of the Fire Interval Distribution for Los Angeles County, California
Roger D. Peng, Department of Statistics, UCLA
Frederic P. Schoenberg, Department of Statistics, UCLA
ABSTRACT: This paper describes a new method for estimating the fire interval distri-
bution of a region using historical wildfire boundary data. The new estimator
does not assume a specific model and is shown to have good statistical proper-
ties. In Los Angeles County, California, detailed information on wildfires has
been made available through the use of geographic information systems (GIS)
technology. The proposed estimator is applied to GIS data covering the years
1878–1996 and reveals an apparent nonlinear threshold-type relationship with
burn area.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Roger D. Peng and Frederic P. Schoenberg,
"Estimation of the Fire Interval Distribution for Los Angeles County, California"
(January 1, 2002).
Department of Statistics, UCLA.
Department of Statistics Papers.
Paper 2002010105.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/uclastat/papers/2002010105
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