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The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and Its Determinants
Yin-Wong Cheung, University of California, Santa Cruz
Menzie David Chinn, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Eiji Fujii, University of Tsukuba, Japan
ABSTRACT: The linkages between the People’s Republic of China and the other Chinese economies
of Hong Kong and Taiwan are assessed, and compared against those with Japan and the
US. We first characterize the time series behavior of three criteria of integration, namely
real interest parity, uncovered interest parity, and relative purchasing power parity. There
is evidence that these parity conditions tend to hold over longer periods between the
People’s Republic of China and all other economies, although they do not hold
instantaneously. Overall, the magnitude of deviations from the parity conditions is
shrinking over time. Amongst all, however, Hong Kong exhibits indications of a more
advanced level of integration with the mainland. We also find that evidence is
surprisingly positive for integration with the US. We then turn to examining the
determinants of the degree of integration. Regression results suggest that the degrees of
financial and integration depend upon the extent of capital controls, foreign direct
investment linkages as well as exchange rate volatility.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn, and Eiji Fujii,
"The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and Its Determinants"
(June 16, 2003).
Department of Economics, UCSC.
Paper 552.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/ucscecon/552
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