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The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration
Menzie David Chinn, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Robert W. Fairlie, University of California Santa Cruz
ABSTRACT: To identify the determinants of cross-country disparities in personal computer and
Internet penetration, we examine a panel of 161 countries over the 1999-2001 period. Our
candidate variables include economic variables (income per capita, years of schooling, illiteracy,
trade openness), demographic variables (youth and aged dependency ratios, urbanization rate),
infrastructure indicators (telephone density, electricity consumption), telecommunications
pricing measures, and regulatory quality. With the exception of trade openness and the telecom
pricing measures, these variables enter in as statistically significant in most specifications for
computer use. A similar pattern holds true for Internet use, except that telephone density and
aged dependency matter less. The global digital divide is mainly – but by no means entirely –
accounted for by income differentials. For computers, telephone density and regulatory quality
are of second and third importance, while for the Internet, this ordering is reversed. The regionspecific
explanations for large disparities in computer and Internet penetration are generally very
similar. Our results suggest that public investment in human capital, telecommunications
infrastructure, and the regulatory infrastructure can mitigate the gap in PC and Internet use.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie,
"The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration"
(February 23, 2004).
Department of Economics, UCSC.
Paper 562.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/ucscecon/562
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