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A Long, Contingent Path to Comparative Advantage: Industrial Policy and the Japanese Iron and Steel Industry, 1900-1973
BERNARD ELBAUM
ABSTRACT: From the 1890s to 1960, industrial policy provided vital aid to the development of the
Japanese iron and steel industry. Japanese industrial policy proved successful in steel
even though public support was much prolonged, subject to political influence, and based
on limited forecasting power ex ante, particularly with regard to recurrent raw material
problems. Policy success in steel suggests the importance of large and pervasive market
failures within a national context of underdevelopment. Over the longer term, on the
other hand, as the Japanese economy grew more mature and its markets less expansive,
implicit public commitment of aid to troubled industries may have engendered moral
hazard, over-investment, and excess capacity—a set of problems that significantly
reduces the attractions of the Japanese model.
SUGGESTED CITATION: BERNARD ELBAUM,
"A Long, Contingent Path to Comparative Advantage: Industrial Policy and the Japanese Iron and Steel Industry, 1900-1973"
(November 16, 2006).
Department of Economics, UCSC.
Paper 629.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/ucscecon/629
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