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Department of Economics, UCSD
University of California, San Diego

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The department was founded in 1964 and has 35 permanent members. We are a relatively young group, all committed to a rigorous analytical approach to both teaching and research. As a consequence, we have a congenial and cooperative atmosphere in which department members take an unusually active interest in their colleagues' research. There are no social or administrative distinctions between junior and senior faculty, except on promotion decisions. Eight faculty members are Fellows of the Econometric Society, three are on the Econometric Society Council, and three are Fellows of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Five are NBER Research Associates, and twelve have NSF grants.

University of California, San Diego
9500 Gilman Drive
La Jolla, CA 92093-0508
USA


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PAPERS FROM 2008
Garey Ramey (October 1, 2008) Exogenous vs. Endogenous Separation
Brendan Beare (September 22, 2008) Copulas and Temporal Dependence
Ross M. Starr (August 19, 2008) Commodity Money in a Convex Trading Post Sequence Economy
Vincent P. Crawford and Juanjuan Meng (July 23, 2008) New York City Cabdrivers' Labor Supply Revisited: Reference-Dependence Preferences with Rational-Expectations Targets for Hours and Income
Ivana Komunjer (April 1, 2008) Global Identification of the Semiparametric Box-Cox Model
Arnaud Costinot (March 1, 2008) A Comparative Institutional Analysis of Agreements on Product Standards
Ivana Komunjer (March 1, 2008) Global Identification In Nonlinear Semiparametric Models
Arnaud Costinot (February 1, 2008) Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: A "New" Perspective on Protectionism
Irina Telyukova (January 3, 2008) Household Need for Liquidity and the Credit Card Debt Puzzle
Ross M. Starr (January 1, 2008) Mengerian Saleableness and Commodity Money in a Walrasian Trading Post Example
PAPERS FROM 2007
Ross M. Starr (December 21, 2007) Commodity Money Equilibrium in a Convex Trading Post Economy with Transaction Costs
Arnaud Costinot (December 1, 2007) Heterogeneity and Trade
Ivana Komunjer and MICHAEL OWYANG (November 1, 2007) Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing
Ivana Komunjer and Federico Echenique (October 1, 2007) A Test For Monotone Comparative Statics
Arnaud Costinot (September 1, 2007) On the Origins of Comparative Advantage
Ross M. Starr (July 5, 2007) Equilibrium and Media of Exchange in a Convex Trading Post Economy With Transaction Costs
Ivana Komunjer (July 1, 2007) Global Identification In Nonlinear Semiparametric Models
Sunil Kanwar (July 1, 2007) Intellectual Property Protection and Technology Transfer: Evidence From US Multinationals
Michael Noel (June 5, 2007) Do Gasoline Prices Resond Asymmetrically to Cost Shocks? The Confounding Effect of Edgeworth Cycles
Michael Noel and Emek Basker (June 1, 2007) The Evolving Food Chain: Competitive Effects of Wal-Mart's Entry Into The Supermarket Industry
Marc-Andreas Muendler (February 1, 2007) Labor Reallocation in Response to Trade Reform
Ross M. Starr (February 1, 2007) Equilibrium and Media of Exchange in A Convex Trading Post Economy with Transaction Cost
Marc-Andreas Muendler (January 16, 2007) Trade and Workforce Changeover in Brazil
PAPERS FROM 2006
Marc-Andreas Muendler and Sascha O. Becker (December 1, 2006) Margins of Multinational Labor Substitution
Naerico Aquino Menezes Filho, Marc-Andreas Muendler, and Garey Ramey (November 26, 2006) The Structure of Worker Compensation in Brazil, With a Comparison to France and the United States
Marc A. Muendler and Sascha O. Becker (November 1, 2006) The Effect of FDI on Job Separation
Ivana Komunjer and Quang Vuong (October 1, 2006) Efficientt Conditional Quantile Estimation: The Time Series Case
Arnaud Costinot and Ivana Komunjer (October 1, 2006) What Good Do Countries Trade? New Ricardian Predictions
Arnaud Costinot and Ivana Komunjer (October 1, 2006) What Goods Do Countries Trade? New Ricardian Predictions
Garey Ramey and Shigeru Fujita (September 25, 2006) The Cyclicality of Job Loss and Hiring
Garey Ramey and Shigeru Fujita (July 10, 2006) Job Matching and Propagation
Richard T. Carson and Jordan J. Louviere (July 1, 2006) Statistical Properties of Consideration Sets
Richard Carson, CLIVE W. GRANGER, Jeremy Jackson, and Wolfram Schlenker (July 1, 2006) Fisheries Management Under Cyclical Population Dynamics
Arnaud Costenot (July 1, 2006) Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: A New Perspective on Protectionism
Ross M. Starr (June 1, 2006) Equilibrium and Media of Exchange in a Convex Trading Post Economy with Transaction Costs
Ross M. Starr (June 1, 2006) Commodity Money Equilibrium in a Walrasian Trading Post Model: An Example
D N. Politis (May 1, 2006) Can the Stock Market be Linearized?
Marc-Andreas Muendler (April 18, 2006) Margins of Multinational Labor Substitution
Joel Watson (February 1, 2006) Contract and Mechanism Design in Settings with Multi-Period Trade
Joel Watson (February 1, 2006) Contract and Game Theory: Basic Concepts for Settings with Finite Horizons
Joel Watson and Jesse Bull (February 1, 2006) Hard Evidence and Mechanism Design
Joel Watson (February 1, 2006) Contract, Mechanism Design, and Technological Detail
PAPERS FROM 2005
Julian Betts and John E. Roemer (December 1, 2005) Equalizing Opportunity for Racial and Socioeconomic Groups in the United States Through Educational Finance Reform
Marc-Andreas Muendler (December 1, 2005) Rational Transparency Choice in Financial Market Equilibrium¤
Naercio Aquino Menezes Filhoz, Marc-Andreas Muendler, and Garey Ramey (December 1, 2005) The Structure of Worker Compensation in Brazil, With a Comparison to France and the United States¤
Vincent P. Crawford and Nagore Iriberri (November 1, 2005) Level-k Auctions: Can a Non-Equilibrium Model of Strategic Thinking Explain the Winner's Curse and Overbidding in Private-Value Auctions?
Yixiao X. Sun, Peter C. B. Phillips, and Sainan Jin (October 1, 2005) Optimal Bandwidth Selection in Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Testing∗
Yixiao X. Sun (October 1, 2005) Estimation and Inference in Panel Structure Models
Marc-Andreas Muendler (September 1, 2005) Risk Neutral Investors Do Not Acquire Information¤
Marc-Andreas Muendler (September 1, 2005) The Action Value of Information and the Natural Transparency Limit¤
Shigeru Fujita and Garey Ramey (August 1, 2005) The Dynamic Beveridge Curve
ROSS M. STARR (August 1, 2005) Equilibrium and Media of Exchange in a Convex Trading Post Economy with transaction Costs
ROSS M. STARR (August 1, 2005) Commodity Money Equilibrium in a Walrasian Trading Post Model: An Elementary Example
Carlos Capistran Carmona (July 1, 2005) Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?
Marc-Andreas Muendler (March 1, 2005) Rational Information Choice in Financial Market Equilibrium
Dimitris Politis (March 1, 2005) Higher-order accurate, positive semi-definite estimation of large-sample covariance and spectral density matrices
Vincent P. Crawford (February 1, 2005) The Flexible-Salary Match: A Proposal to Increase the Salary Flexibility of the National Resident Matching Program
Vincent P. Crawford and Nagore Iriberri (January 1, 2005) Fatal Attraction: Focality, Naivete and Sophistication in Experimental “Hide and Seek” Games
PAPERS FROM 2004
Sasha O. Becker, Karolina Ekholm, Robert Jackle, and Marc-Andreas Muendler (December 1, 2004) Location Choices and Employment Decisions: A Comparison of German and Swedish Multinationals
Hoyt C. Bleakley and Kevin Cowan (December 1, 2004) Maturity Mismatch and Financial Crises: Evidence from Emerging Market Corporations
Peter C.B. Phillips, Yixiao Sun, and Sainan Jin (November 1, 2004) Spectral Density Estimation and Robust Hypothesis Testing Using Steep Origin Kernels Without Truncation
Patrik Guggenberger and Yixiao Sun (November 1, 2004) Bias-Reduced Log-Periodogram and Whittle Estimation of the Long-Memory Parameter Without Variance Inflation
Michael Noel (September 29, 2004) Edgeworth Price Cycles, Cost-based Pricing and Sticky Pricing in Retail Gasoline Markets
Graham Elliott and Ulrich K. Mueller (September 28, 2004) Optimally Testing General Breaking Processes in Linear Time Series Models
Peter C.B. Phillips, Yixiao Sun, and Sainan Jin (September 28, 2004) Consistent HAC Estimation and Robust Regression Testing Using Sharp Origin Kernels with No Truncation
Michael D. Noel (September 1, 2004) Edgeworth Cycles and Focal Prices: Computational Dynamic Markov Equilibria
Miguel A. Costa-Gomes and Vincent P. Crawford (September 1, 2004) Cognition and Behavior in Two-Person Guessing Games: An Experimental Study
Graham Elliott and Ulrich K. Muller (August 1, 2004) Confidence Sets for the Date of a Single Break in Linear Time Series Regressions
Marc-Andreas Muendler (August 1, 2004) The Existence of Informationally Efficient Markets When Individuals Are Rational
Graham Elliott, Michael Jansson, and Elena Pesavento (June 1, 2004) Optimal Power for Testing Potential Cointegrating Vectors with Known
Christopher Bowdler and Eilev S. Jansen (May 1, 2004) Testing for a time-varying price-cost markup in the Euro area inflation process
Marc-Andreas Muendler (February 1, 2004) Trade, Technology, and Productivity: A Study of Brazilian Manufacturers, 1986-1998
Marc-Andreas Muendler (February 1, 2004) Estimating Production Functions When Productivity Change Is Endogenous
Michael Noel (January 1, 2004) Edgeworth Price Cycles: Evidence from the Toronto Retail Gasoline Market
Clive W.J. Granger (January 1, 2004) Time Series Analysis, Cointegration, and Applications
Dimitris N. Politis (January 1, 2004) A heavy-tailed distribution for ARCH residuals with application to volatility prediction
PAPERS FROM 2003
Dimitris N. Politis (December 1, 2003) Model-Free Volatility Prediction
Kate Antonovics and Robert Town (November 1, 2003) Are All The Good Men Married? Uncovering the Sources of the Marital Wage Premium
Liangjun Su and Halbert White (October 1, 2003) Testing Conditional Independence Via Empirical Likelihood
Steven Scroggin (September 1, 2003) Bounded Rationality in Randomization
Tae-Hwan Kim and Halbert White (September 1, 2003) On More Robust Estimation of Skewness and Kurtosis: Simulation and Application to the S&P500 Index
Liangjun Su and Halbert White (August 1, 2003) A Consistent Characteristic-Function-Based Test for Conditional Independence
Kate Antonovics and Arthur S. Goldberger (July 1, 2003) Do Educated Women Make Bad Mothers? Twin Studies of the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital
Raffaella Giacomini and Halbert White (June 1, 2003) Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability
Kate Antonovics, Peter Arcidiacono, and Randall Walsh (June 1, 2003) Competing Against the Opposite Sex
Yixiao Sun (April 1, 2003) Estimation of the Long-run Average Relationship in Nonstationary Panel Time Series
Gawon Yoon (January 1, 2003) A simple model that generates stylized facts of returns
Kate Antonovics, Peter Arcidiacono, and Randall Walsh (January 1, 2003) Games and Discrimination: Lessons From the Weakest Link
Yixiao Sun (January 1, 2003) A Convergent t-statistic in Spurious Regressions
Yixiao Sun (January 1, 2003) Spurious Regressions with Stationary Gegenbauer Processes and Harmonic Processes
PAPERS FROM 2002
Ross M. Starr (November 21, 2002) Existence of Uniqueness of "Money" in General Equilibrium: Natural Monopoly in the Most Liquid Asset
Clive W.J. Granger, Timo Teräsvirta, and Andrew J. Patton (November 1, 2002) Common Factors in Conditional Distributions
Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia (October 1, 2002) Methods to Estimate Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models
DONALD W. ANDREWS and Yixiao X. Sun (October 1, 2002) Adaptive Local Polynomial Whittle Estimation of Long-Range Dependence
Mark J. Machina and Clive W.J. Granger (September 12, 2002) Structurally-Induced Volatility Clustering
Raffaella Giacomini, Christian Haefke, Halbert White, and Andreas Gottschling (September 7, 2002) Hypernormal Densities
Jesse Bull and Joel Watson (September 1, 2002) Hard Evidence and Mechanism Design
Jesse Bull and Joel Watson (September 1, 2002) Evidence Disclosure and Verfiability
Graham Elliott and Michael Jansson (July 31, 2002) Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariates
Ross M. Starr (June 28, 2002) Monetary General Equilibrium with Transaction Costs
Bradley S. Paye and Allan Timmermann (June 19, 2002) How Stable are Financial Prediction Models? Evidence from US and International Stock Market Data
Raffaella Giacomini (June 1, 2002) Comparing Density Forecasts via Weighted Likelihood Ratio Tests: Asymptotic and Bootstrap Methods
Raffaella Giacomini and Ivana Komunjer (June 1, 2002) Evaluation and Combination of Conditional Quantile Forecasts
Joel Watson and Jim Brennan (May 1, 2002) The Renegotiation-Proofness Principle and Costly Renegotiation
Graham Elliott and Allan Timmermann (April 29, 2002) Optimal Forecast Combination Under General Loss Functions and Forecast Error Distributions
Halbert White and Tae-Hwan Kim (April 1, 2002) Estimation, Inference, and Specification Testing for Possibly Misspecified Quantile Regression
Mark J. Machina (March 13, 2002) Robustifying the Classical Model of Risk Preferences and Beliefs
Silvia Goncalves and Halbert White (February 25, 2002) Maximum Likelihood and the Bootstrap for Nonlinear Dynamic Models
Kate L. Antonovics (February 8, 2002) Persistent Racial Wage Inequality
Ross M. Starr (January 6, 2002) General Equilibrium in a Segmented Market Economy with Convex Transaction Cost: Existence, Efficiency, Commodity and Fiat Money
Xiaohong Chen and Halbert White (January 1, 2002) Asymptotic Properties of Some Projection-based Robbins-Monro Procedures in a Hilbert Space
Joel Watson (January 1, 2002) Contract, Mechanism Design, and Technological Detail
Valerie A. Ramey and Neville Francis (January 1, 2002) Is The Technology-Driven Real Business Cycle Hypothesis Dead? Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations Revisted
Clive W.J. Granger and GAWON YOON (January 1, 2002) Hidden Cointegration
PAPERS FROM 2001
Ulrich Muller and Graham Elliott (December 3, 2001) Tests for Unit Roots and the Initial Observation
Alan Schwartz and Joel Watson (December 1, 2001) The Law and Economics of Costly Contracting
J E. Rauch and Joel Watson (December 1, 2001) Entrepreneurship in International Trade
J E. Rauch and Alessandra Casella (December 1, 2001) Overcoming Informational Barriers to International Resource Allocation: Prices and Ties
Andrew J. Patton (November 12, 2001) Estimation of Copula Models for Time Series of Possibly Different Length
Ross M. Starr (October 30, 2001) Why Is There Money? Endogenous Derivation of "Money" as the Most Liquid Asset: A Class of Examples
Vincent P. Crawford (September 24, 2001) Lying for Strategic Advantage: Rational and Boundedly Rational Misrepresentation of Intentions
Robert F. Engle and Kevin K. Sheppard (September 1, 2001) Theoretical and Empirical Properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH
Wouter J. den Haan, Christian Haefke, and Garey Ramey (August 1, 2001) Shocks and Institutions in a Job Matching Model
Yann Schorderet (August 1, 2001) Revisiting Okun's Law: An Hysteretic Perspective
Mark J. Machina (July 1, 2001) Almost-Objective Uncertainty
Ana Maria Herrera and James D. Hamilton (July 1, 2001) Oil Shocks and Aggregate Macroeconomic Behavior: The Role of Monetary Policy
Andrew J. Patton (June 1, 2001) Modelling Time-Varying Exchange Rate Dependence Using the Conditional Copula
George W. Evans and Garey Ramey (May 1, 2001) Adaptive Expectations, Underparameterization and the Lucas Critique
Ivana Komunjer (May 1, 2001) Consistent Estimation for Aggregated GARCH
Raffaella Giacomini and Clive W.J. Granger (May 1, 2001) Aggregationn of Space-Time Processes
Efstathios Paparoditis and Dimitris N. Politis (March 1, 2001) Unit Root Testing via the Continuous-Path Block Bootstrap
Wouter J. den Haan and STEVEN W. SUMNER (March 1, 2001) The Comovements Between Real Activity and Prices
Clive W.J. Granger and GAWON YOON (February 20, 2001) Self-Generating Variables in a Cointegrated VAR Framework
Michael T. Owyang and Garey Ramey (January 1, 2001) Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement
Allan Timmermann (January 1, 2001) Structural Breaks, Incomplete Information and Stock Prices
Mikhail Klimenko, Garey Ramey, and Joel Watson (January 1, 2001) Recurrent Trade Agreements and the Value of External Enforcement
PAPERS FROM 2000
Wouter J. den Haan, Garey Ramey, and Joel Watson (December 1, 2000) Liquidity Flows and Fragility of business Enterprises
Julian Betts and Robert Fairlie (December 1, 2000) Explaining Ethnic, Racial, and Immigrant Differences in Private School Attendance
Silvia Goncalves and Halbert White (December 1, 2000) Maximum Likelihood and the Bootstrap for Nonlinear Dynamic Models
Julian Betts (December 1, 2000) The Effects of Unions on Research and Development: An Empirical Analysis Using Multi-Year Data
Wouter J. den Haan, Garey Ramey, and Joel Watson (December 1, 2000) Liquidity Flows and Fragility of Business Enterprises
Pu Shen and Ross M. Starr (November 2, 2000) Market Makers' Supply and Pricing of Financial Market Liquidity
Leora Friedberg and anthony webb (November 1, 2000) The Impact of 401(k) Plans on Retirement
Uzi Segal and Joel Sobel (November 1, 2000) Min, Max, and Sum
Tae-Hwan Kim, Halbert White, and Douglas Stone (October 1, 2000) Asymptotic and Bayesian Confidence Intervals for Sharpe Style Weights
Ross M. Starr (October 1, 2000) Why is there Money? Endogenous Derivation of "Money" as the Most Liquid Asset: A Class of Examples
Mark J. Machina (September 11, 2000) Payoff Kinks in Preferences Over Lotteries
ELENA PESAVENTO (September 1, 2000) Analytical Evaluation of the Power of Tests for the Absence of Cointegration
James Douglas Hamilton and Dong Heon Kim (September 1, 2000) A Re-examination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread
Robert F. Engle and Andrew J. Patton (August 22, 2000) Impacts of Trades in an Error-Correction Model of Quote Prices
Richard T. Carson and Robert Cameron Mitchell (August 1, 2000) Public Preferences Towards Environmental Risks: The Case of Trihalomethanes
Bruno Broseta, Miguel Costa-Gomes, and Vincent P. Crawford (July 20, 2000) Cognition and Behavior in Normal-Form Games: An Experimental Study
Julian Betts and Robert Costrell (July 1, 2000) Incentives and Equity Under Standards-Based Reform
Graham Elliott and JAMES H. STOCK (July 1, 2000) Confidence Intervals for Autoregressive Coefficients Near One
GEORGE J. BORJAS and Valerie A. Ramey (July 1, 2000) Market Responses to Interindustry Wage Differentials
Peter Reinhard Hansen (July 1, 2000) The Johansen-Granger Representation Theorem: An Explicit Expression for I(1) Processes.
Niels Haldrup Prof. and Peter Lildholdt (June 8, 2000) On the Robustness of Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Double Unit Roots
Niels Haldrup Prof. and Peter Lildholdt (June 5, 2000) Local Power Functions of Tests for Double Unit Roots
Vincent P. Crawford and Ping-Sing Kuo (June 5, 2000) A Dual Dutch Auction in Taipei: The Choice of Numeraire and Auction Form in Multi-Object Auctions with Bundling
Jesse Bull and Joel Watson (June 1, 2000) Evidence Disclosure and Verifiability
Niels Haldrup Prof., Antonio Montanes, and Andreu Sansó (June 1, 2000) Measurement Errors and Outliers in Seasonal Unit Root Testing
Michael Jansson and Niels Haldrup Prof. (June 1, 2000) Spurious Regression, Cointegration, and Near Cointegration: A Unifying Approach
Wouter J. den Haan and Andrew T. Levin (June 1, 2000) Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation with Data-Dependent VAR Prewhitening Order
Tae-Hwan Kim and Halbert White (May 1, 2000) James-Stein Type Estimator in Large Samples with Application to the Least Absolute Deviations Estimator
Julian Betts (May 1, 2000) The Impact of School Resources on Women's Earnings and Educational Attainment: Findings from the National Longitudinal Survey of Young Women
Robert F. Engle (May 1, 2000) Dynamic Conditional Correlation - A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models
Graham Elliott and Michael Jansson (May 1, 2000) Testing for Unit Roots with Stationary Covariances
Tae-Hwan Kim and Halbert White (May 1, 2000) James-Stein Type Estimators in Large Samples with Application to the Least Absolute Deviations Estimator
Marvin J. Barth III and Valerie A. Ramey (April 17, 2000) The Cost Channel of Monetary Transmissions
Ingolf Dittmann and Clive W.J. Granger (April 1, 2000) Properties of Nonlinear Transformations of Fractionally Integrated Processes
Alan Schwartz and Joel Watson (April 1, 2000) Economic and Legal Aspects of Costly Recontracting
Christopher Stomberg and Halbert White (April 1, 2000) Bootstrapping the Information Matrix Test
Garey Ramey and Joel Watson (April 1, 2000) Conditioning Institutions and Renegotiation
Richard T. Carson and Nicholas A. Flores (March 1, 2000) Contingent Valuation: Controversies and Evidence
Vincent P. Crawford (January 19, 2000) John Nash and the Analysis of Strategic Behavior
Patrice Bertail, Christian Haefke, D N. Politis, and Halbert White (January 1, 2000) A Subsampling Approach to Estimating The Distribution of Diverging Statistics with Applications to Assessing Financial Market Risk
PAPERS FROM 1999
Richard T. Carson (December 1, 1999) Contingent Valuation: A User's Guide
Valentino Dardanoni (December 1, 1999) A Pedagogical Proof of Arrow's Impossibility Theorem
Andreas Gottschling, Christian Haefke, and Halbert White (November 1, 1999) Closed Form Integration of Artificial Neural Networks with Some Applications to Finance
Ross M. Starr (November 1, 1999) Why is there Money? Convergence to a Monetary Equilibrium in a General Equilibrium Model with Transaction Costs
Graham Elliott (October 1, 1999) Estimating Restricted Cointegrating Vectors
Giampiero M. Gallo (October 1, 1999) Interest Rate Volatility Regimes and Exchange Rate Behavior in a Target Zone
Robert F. Engle and Simone Manganelli (October 1, 1999) CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles
Hashem Pesaran and Allan Timmermann (September 1, 1999) Model Instability and Choice of Observation Window
Giampiero M. Gallo, Clive W.J. Granger, and Yongil Jeon (August 1, 1999) The Impact of the Use of Forecasts in Information Sets
Kang-Oh Yi (August 1, 1999) A Quantal Response Equilibrium Model of Order Statistic Games
Garey Ramey and Joel Watson (August 1, 1999) Contractual Intermediaries
James E. Kirkley and Dale Squires (July 1, 1999) Capacity and Capacity Utilization in Fishing Industries
Alfonso Dufour and Robert F. Engle (June 1, 1999) Time and the Price Impact of a Trade
Clive W.J. Granger and Namwon Hyung (June 1, 1999) Occasional Structural Breaks and Long Memory
Wouter J. den Haan, Garey Ramey, and Joel Watson (June 1, 1999) Job Destruction and the Experiences of Displaced Workers
Clive W.J. Granger and Chor-yiu Sin (June 1, 1999) Modelling the Absolute Returns of Different Stock Indices: Exploring the Forecastability of an Alternative Measure of Risk
Leora Friedberg (June 1, 1999) The Impact of Technological Change on Older Workers: Evidence from Data on Computers
Uzi Segal and Joel Sobel (June 1, 1999) Tit for Tat: Foundations of Preferences for Reciprocity in Strategic Settings
Joel Watson (April 1, 1999) Starting Small and Commitment
James E. Rauch and Peter B. Evans (March 1, 1999) Bureaucratic Structure and Bureaucratic Performance in Less Developed Countries
J E. Rauch and Joel Watson (March 1, 1999) Starting Small in an Unfamiliar Environment
Robert F. Engle (February 1, 1999) Modeling the Impacts of Market Activity on Bid-Ask Spreads in the Option Market
Tae-Hwan Kim and Halbert White (February 1, 1999) James-Stein Type Estimators in Large Samples with Application to the Least Absolute Deviations Estimator
James D. Hamilton (January 1, 1999) A Parametric Approach to Flexible Nonlinear Inference
Wouter J. den Haan, Garey Ramey, and Joel Watson (January 1, 1999) Contract-Theoretic Approaches to Wages and Displacement
David Riker (January 1, 1999) Educational Attainment as a Determinant of International Trade Flows
Halbert White and Yongmiao Hong (January 1, 1999) M-Testing Using Finite and Infinite Dimensional Parameter Estimators
PAPERS FROM 1998
Robert F. Engle (November 1, 1998) Macroeconomic Announcements and Volatility of Treasury Futures
Dale Squires and R. Quentin Grafton (October 1, 1998) Where the Land Meets The Sea: Integrated Sustainable Fisheries Development and Artisanal Fishing
Clive W.J. Granger, Namwon Hyung, and Yongil Jeon (October 1, 1998) Spurious Regressions with Stationary Series
Valerie A. Ramey and MATTHEW D. SHAPIRO (October 1, 1998) Displaced Capital
Ross M. Starr (October 1, 1998) Monetizing Trade: A Tatonnement Example
Miguel Costa-Gomes, Vincent P. Crawford, and Bruno Broseta (September 1, 1998) Cognition and Behavior in Normal-Form Games: An Experimental Study
Ismael Sanchez (August 1, 1998) Testing for Unit Roots with Prediction Errors
CYNTHIA A. BANSAK and Steven Raphael (August 1, 1998) Immigration Reform and the Earnings of Latino Workers: Do Employer Sanctions Cause Discrimination?
Steven Raphael and RUDOLF WINTER-EBMER (August 1, 1998) Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime
Clive W.J. Granger and Namwon Hyung (July 1, 1998) Introduction to M-M Processes
Joel Sobel (July 1, 1998) Manipulation of Preferences and Relative Utilitarianism
Ryan Sullivan, Allan Timmermann, and Halbert White (June 1, 1998) Dangers of Data-Driven Inference: The Case of Calendar Effects in Stock Returns
Cynthia A. Bansak and Steven Raphael (June 1, 1998) Have Employment Relationships in the United States Become Less Stable?
Alejandro Gaviria (May 1, 1998) Increasing Returns and the Evolution of Violent Crime: The Case of Columbia
Alejandro Gaviria (May 1, 1998) Intergenerational Mobility, Siblings' Inequality and Borrowing Constraints
Partha Deb and PRAVIN K. TRIVEDI (April 1, 1998) Moment-based Estimation of Latent Class Models of Event Counts
Asger Lunde, Allan Timmermann, and David Blake (April 1, 1998) The Hazards of Mutual Fund Underperformance: A Cox Regression Analysis
Jeffrey Russell and Robert F. Engle (April 1, 1998) Econometric Analysis of Discrete-Valued Irregularly-Spaced Financial Transactions Data Using a New Autoregressive Conditional Multinomial Model
Clive W.J. Granger, Bwo-Nung Huang, and Chin W. Yang (April 1, 1998) A Bivariate Causality between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Recent Asia Flu
João Miguel Ejarque (April 1, 1998) Investment Irreversibility and Precautionary Savings in General Equilibrium
Robert F. Engle and Asger Lunde (March 1, 1998) Trades and Quotes: A Bivariate Point Process
Graham Elliott and TAKATOSHI ITO (February 1, 1998) Heterogeneous Expectations and Tests of Efficiency in the Yen/Dollar Forward Exchange Rate Market
Steven Raphael, Michael A. Stoll, and HARRY J. HOLZER (February 1, 1998) Are Suburban Firms More Likely to Discriminate Against African-Americans?
Julian Betts (February 1, 1998) Educational Crowding Out: Do Immigrants Affect the Educational Attainment of American Minorities?
Robert F. Engle and Aaron Smith (January 1, 1998) Stochastic Permanent Breaks
Marjorie Flavin and Takashi Yamashita (January 1, 1998) Owner-Occupied Housing and the Composition of the Household Portfolio over the Life Cycle
Clive W.J. Granger (January 1, 1998) Extracting Information from Mega-Panels and High-Frequency Data

 
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