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Trade, Technology, and Productivity: A Study of Brazilian Manufacturers, 1986-1998
Marc-Andreas Muendler, University of California, San Diego
ABSTRACT: Brazil's trade liberalization between 1990 and 1993, and its partial re-
versal in 1995, are used to study how reduced inward trade barriers
affect productivity. The production function of Brazilian manufactur-
ers is estimated at the ISIC3 two-digit level under various alternatives,
including an extension of Olley and Pakes' (1996) procedure. Firm-level
productivity is inferred and then related to trade. Findings suggest that
(1) foreign competition pressures firms to raise productivity markedly,
whereas (2) the use of foreign inputs plays a minor role for produc-
tivity change. (3) The shutdown probability of inefficient firms rises
with competition from abroad, thus contributing positively to aggre-
gate productivity. Counterfactual simulations indicate that the compet-
itive push (1) is an important source of immediate productivity change,
while the elimination of inefficient firms (3) unfolds its impact slowly.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Marc-Andreas Muendler,
"Trade, Technology, and Productivity: A Study of Brazilian Manufacturers, 1986-1998"
(February 1, 2004).
Department of Economics, UCSD.
Paper 2004-06.
http://repositories.cdlib.org/ucsdecon/2004-06
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